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Home Resales Drop in 2025 as Economic Uncertainty Bites

Canada’s housing market is cooling. RBC’s latest forecast shows home resales down 3.5% nationwide this year to about 467,000 units, with B.C. and Ontario hit hardest.

In B.C., sales are expected to fall 4.6% in 2025. Hopes for a rebound from interest rate cuts were dampened by an escalating U.S.-Canada trade war, which has slowed buyer confidence.

2026 Outlook

RBC predicts a 7.9% national rebound next year, with B.C. up 10.8%—potentially creating more of a buyer’s market. But prices won’t surge: the average B.C. home price will dip slightly in 2025 to $1.16M and stay flat in 2026.

Across Canada

  • Prairies, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada may hold steady or see small gains.

  • Ontario’s high inventory will likely keep prices under pressure into early 2026.

Bottom line: The market is in a reset phase. Some relief may come in 2026, but the boom days aren’t back yet.


 
 
 

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